Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1243.523355 1406.762229 1586.146588 1798.357786 2043.131423 2317.287445 2648.559538
2025-11-30 1001.790581 1223.246220 1488.461618 1831.491830 2266.309039 2802.917336 3521.163100
2025-12-07 834.629357 1071.351729 1371.401608 1783.445919 2340.509945 3075.936701 4134.415930
2025-12-14 716.559213 956.614524 1274.844373 1733.317288 2386.380785 3297.631826 4691.026595
2025-12-21 623.561743 860.086425 1185.612989 1673.978816 2401.325394 3465.896277 5182.211772
2025-12-28 584.027263 830.927331 1183.109172 1732.476343 2586.901612 3897.548232 6124.739455
2026-01-04 542.298886 792.885348 1161.797237 1757.600462 2721.027222 4263.136292 7013.271245
2026-01-11 503.344849 754.224158 1134.266278 1767.774765 2829.443799 4597.135455 7895.310472
2026-01-18 469.066062 718.893713 1107.438835 1774.429176 2930.202347 4927.459595 8817.877841
2026-01-25 447.092387 700.477326 1104.854064 1819.431507 3099.472816 5395.364489 10066.464654
2026-02-01 425.180415 679.881115 1096.223660 1852.164740 3249.328052 5845.419496 11352.327264
2026-02-08 403.639879 657.812425 1082.698590 1874.046947 3380.541580 6275.564042 12667.811665
2026-02-15 382.833410 635.773766 1068.128094 1894.175979 3514.272467 6735.719595 14146.849068
2026-02-22 366.020803 619.265543 1061.795943 1929.021024 3681.406459 7288.055862 15939.813683
2026-03-01 338.383097 581.256272 1013.388938 1878.093363 3669.039959 7462.296098 16886.944451
2026-03-08 313.216848 545.707972 966.418357 1824.960578 3645.136423 7606.944114 17787.486952
2026-03-15 289.166259 510.410374 917.048151 1762.081051 3592.900151 7680.795135 18523.669723
2026-03-22 282.684905 507.299034 928.399004 1824.069342 3819.525749 8424.588577 21155.296495
2026-03-29 272.419073 496.173195 923.192284 1850.697513 3970.055478 9010.731833 23487.133835
2026-04-05 261.144026 482.233816 911.223712 1861.481707 4085.178837 9527.151785 25735.368495
2026-04-12 250.302890 468.343556 898.196811 1868.535262 4192.171917 10038.925841 28085.869449
2026-04-19 244.227524 463.482645 903.186419 1916.242063 4403.671459 10855.489173 31569.370532
2026-04-26 237.230293 456.228753 902.555235 1950.947996 4587.210245 11626.782318 35103.310007